The Oklahoma vs Nebraska game was always going to be a battle of the big defensive tackles. Ndamukong Suh (Nebraska) and Gerald McCoy (Oklahoma) have been #1 and #2 in my 2010 rankings from day one and nothing tonight suggested that shouldn't be the case. Suh gets the edge because he seems to consistently make plays in many different ways. He blocked a field goal today, tipped passes and generally caused havoc with his unique combination of power and athleticism. He also ate up blocks which put Jared Crick in plenty of one-on-one match ups, enabling him to put on another show a week after registering five sacks against Baylor. Crick's a redshirt sophomore and could add to an already deep class on the defensive line if he declares - he got another sack and his tipped pass (leading to an interception) confirmed the win for Nebraska.
McCoy recovered a fumble but generally tends to make a lot of plays in the backfield. He gets good penetration at the point of attack, shows good burst to shed a blocker and has the power to drive people back collapsing the pocket. This wasn't his most eye catching performance - but on closer inspection you'll notice how often he's in the backfield. He lined up a couple of times at defensive end, the first time I've seen that from him personally. Suh does it regularly and projects to work in the 4-3 or 3-4 equally well. McCoy is a pure 4-3 three technique but even when asking to rush from the edge he did a good job, showing a better burst than most defensive ends.
Suh's playmaking qualities separate the two and that's why he's down to go first overall in my mock draft. There aren't many defensive tackles who can win you a game on their own, but Suh has that potential. He's in the quarterback's face, he wraps up tackles, he catches interceptions and takes them to the house, he blocks field goals and he tips passes. He's a superstar in the making.
Saturday, 7 November 2009
Bulaga impressive even in defeat
I had a chance to watch Iowa left tackle Bryan Bulaga for the second consecutive week and I have to say he was impressive. Despite the Hawkeye's losing their unbeaten record to Northwestern, Bulaga was pretty much unbeatable all afternoon, creating perfect protection to the quarterback's blind side. It's a shame the other side of the offensive line weren't half as good - it might have kept quarterback Ricky Stanzi in the game.
On the game's first drive, Bulaga showed better footwork than I saw last week and good upper body strength to keep Corey Wootton at bay (a solid pro-prospect himself), affording Stanzi the chance to step into the pocket and launch a strike downfield for a touchdown. Northwestern kept Wootton away from Bulaga after that, putting him on the opposite flank or at outside linebacker. That essentially won the game, it was his hit on Stanzi that forced him off at the start of the second quarter - running untouched into the end zone to hammer the quarterback as a left side linebacker.
This prevented the opportunity to watch Bulaga competing against top competition, but he dominated this game nonetheless. His main attribute is his strength. He over powers a lot of college defensive lineman and this was no different today. Play after play he opened up huge holes in the running game, positioning his blocks perfectly whether pulling inside to create an open edge or driving his man away from the line of scrimmage for an inside run. He was equally good in pass protection, never beaten on the edge and as soon as he got his hands on a pass rusher it was game over.
I'm still not entirely convinced he'll declare as a junior prospect. It's only the relatively mediocre depth at offensive tackle that makes me believe he'll chase the money, especially since it's unlikely now Iowa will achieve a Rose Bowl berth (an assumption I know, but they lost more than the game today). Now, nothing today convinced me that he's not a better prospect at right tackle than he is at left. He won't have the same advantage with his strength in the NFL than he does now at college level. His great run blocking lends itself to the right side and he could be a pro-bowler at that position or guard.
However, in the same way teams fell in love with Jake Long the same could happen with Bulaga. He won't go first overall like Long and he's a step below the former Michigan blocker, but he could go higher than most are predicting now. Some teams will feel they can use him on the left and that will help his stock. Other teams (like Seattle) who favor more agile lineman might not be as keen to take him early. He could be awesome at right tackle or as an interior lineman, so if he did drop later into round one he could be an option with Seattle's second pick (should he declare) but I imagine he'll be long gone by then.
On the game's first drive, Bulaga showed better footwork than I saw last week and good upper body strength to keep Corey Wootton at bay (a solid pro-prospect himself), affording Stanzi the chance to step into the pocket and launch a strike downfield for a touchdown. Northwestern kept Wootton away from Bulaga after that, putting him on the opposite flank or at outside linebacker. That essentially won the game, it was his hit on Stanzi that forced him off at the start of the second quarter - running untouched into the end zone to hammer the quarterback as a left side linebacker.
This prevented the opportunity to watch Bulaga competing against top competition, but he dominated this game nonetheless. His main attribute is his strength. He over powers a lot of college defensive lineman and this was no different today. Play after play he opened up huge holes in the running game, positioning his blocks perfectly whether pulling inside to create an open edge or driving his man away from the line of scrimmage for an inside run. He was equally good in pass protection, never beaten on the edge and as soon as he got his hands on a pass rusher it was game over.
I'm still not entirely convinced he'll declare as a junior prospect. It's only the relatively mediocre depth at offensive tackle that makes me believe he'll chase the money, especially since it's unlikely now Iowa will achieve a Rose Bowl berth (an assumption I know, but they lost more than the game today). Now, nothing today convinced me that he's not a better prospect at right tackle than he is at left. He won't have the same advantage with his strength in the NFL than he does now at college level. His great run blocking lends itself to the right side and he could be a pro-bowler at that position or guard.
However, in the same way teams fell in love with Jake Long the same could happen with Bulaga. He won't go first overall like Long and he's a step below the former Michigan blocker, but he could go higher than most are predicting now. Some teams will feel they can use him on the left and that will help his stock. Other teams (like Seattle) who favor more agile lineman might not be as keen to take him early. He could be awesome at right tackle or as an interior lineman, so if he did drop later into round one he could be an option with Seattle's second pick (should he declare) but I imagine he'll be long gone by then.
Saturday's highlights
Four games are on my schedule today, with thoughts on all before the end of the weekend. Here are the games I'll be watching and what I'll be looking out for:
Northwestern vs Iowa
Another chance to watch Bryan Bulaga, a junior offensive tackle who could declare for the 2010 draft. He'll be coming up against another potential first round pick - defensive end Corey Wootton. My initial thoughts were that Bulaga projects as a better right tackle prospect in the NFL, we'll see if today changes that opinion.
LSU vs Alabama
How does Tigers wide out Brandon LaFell perform against the Crimson Tide defense? He hasn't been helped by inconsistent quarterback play this year. He could be a first round pick but he didn't have much of an impact last time I watched LSU against Florida. There are a few other pro-prospects to watch in this game.
Ohio State vs Penn State
Seattle won't take a linebacker in the first round next year, but one prospect who's moving up draft boards is the Nittany Lions' Sean Lee. This should be a battle of defenses and by no means a pretty game of football and for the first time in a while, there aren't any big name Buckeye's expected to go in round one.
Oklahoma vs Nebraska
It's all about defensive tackles. My #1 overall prospect (Ndamukong Suh) against my #2 overall prospect (Gerald McCoy). It's a chance to watch two guys with pro-bowl potential. Scouts will be heavily in attendance and whoever performs the best could get an edge in terms of draft stock. It's also worth keeping an eye on Suh's DT partner Jared Crick who's also flashed potential at times this year, none more so than last week when he recorded 13 tackles and five sacks against Baylor.
Northwestern vs Iowa
Another chance to watch Bryan Bulaga, a junior offensive tackle who could declare for the 2010 draft. He'll be coming up against another potential first round pick - defensive end Corey Wootton. My initial thoughts were that Bulaga projects as a better right tackle prospect in the NFL, we'll see if today changes that opinion.
LSU vs Alabama
How does Tigers wide out Brandon LaFell perform against the Crimson Tide defense? He hasn't been helped by inconsistent quarterback play this year. He could be a first round pick but he didn't have much of an impact last time I watched LSU against Florida. There are a few other pro-prospects to watch in this game.
Ohio State vs Penn State
Seattle won't take a linebacker in the first round next year, but one prospect who's moving up draft boards is the Nittany Lions' Sean Lee. This should be a battle of defenses and by no means a pretty game of football and for the first time in a while, there aren't any big name Buckeye's expected to go in round one.
Oklahoma vs Nebraska
It's all about defensive tackles. My #1 overall prospect (Ndamukong Suh) against my #2 overall prospect (Gerald McCoy). It's a chance to watch two guys with pro-bowl potential. Scouts will be heavily in attendance and whoever performs the best could get an edge in terms of draft stock. It's also worth keeping an eye on Suh's DT partner Jared Crick who's also flashed potential at times this year, none more so than last week when he recorded 13 tackles and five sacks against Baylor.
Friday, 6 November 2009
Some weekend mocks
Rob Rang updated his mock draft today. The chart says USC tight end Anthony McCoy is going to Seattle with the 9th overall pick, but it's obviously supposed to be Texas quarterback Colt McCoy looking at Rang's description. I have to say, I can't see it myself. I'll be very surprised if he ends up going in round one, let alone the top ten. The Seahawks take Trent Williams (OT, Oklahoma) with their second pick, another move I'm not overly keen on.
Chad Reuter also publishes a new prediction on CBS Sportsline. He send Russell Okung (OT, Oklahoma State) and C.J. Spiller (RB, Clemson) to the Seahawks. I love the second pick but I'll be surprised if Spiller lasts that long, especially if he runs a great 40 time at the combine. I'm not a fan of taking Okung that early but I think he'll probably end up going near the top of the draft due to the limited talent at offensive tackle this year.
Walter Cherepinsky also thinks the Seahawks will target an offensive lineman early in round one - this time Maryland's Bruce Campbell. I've not seen much of Campbell in fairness, but I believe he's suffered a lot of injury problems. California running back Jahvid Best is the second pick for Seattle as the Seahawks look for an offensive playmaker in the backfield. C.J. Spiller's still on the board and given a choice of the two, I'd probably take Spiller.
Matt McGuire is also going offensive tackle in round one (it seems to be the popular choice right now for the Seahawks considering all the injury issues at the position). It's another new name this time - Bryan Bulaga (OT, Iowa). Tomorrow I'll be watching four games one of which is Iowa against Northwestern. It'll be the second time I'll have a chance to watch Bulaga, my initial thoughts were that he's best suited to play right tackle in the NFL. McGuire pins the Seahawks down to take Ryan Mallett (QB, Arkansas) later in round one - a move I simply cannot see happening.
Scott Wright goes in a different direction, giving Seattle C.J. Spiller as early as the 12th overall pick. That's a bit of a reach but if the team did want Spiller badly enough, they might have to take him in that range. I don't think he'll last deep into the 20's like some people are predicting - he's an explosive playmaker in a year that's lacking at the offensive skill positions. The Seahawks select USF safety Nate Allen late in round one - an even bigger reach.
Click here to see my first 2010 mock draft.
Chad Reuter also publishes a new prediction on CBS Sportsline. He send Russell Okung (OT, Oklahoma State) and C.J. Spiller (RB, Clemson) to the Seahawks. I love the second pick but I'll be surprised if Spiller lasts that long, especially if he runs a great 40 time at the combine. I'm not a fan of taking Okung that early but I think he'll probably end up going near the top of the draft due to the limited talent at offensive tackle this year.
Walter Cherepinsky also thinks the Seahawks will target an offensive lineman early in round one - this time Maryland's Bruce Campbell. I've not seen much of Campbell in fairness, but I believe he's suffered a lot of injury problems. California running back Jahvid Best is the second pick for Seattle as the Seahawks look for an offensive playmaker in the backfield. C.J. Spiller's still on the board and given a choice of the two, I'd probably take Spiller.
Matt McGuire is also going offensive tackle in round one (it seems to be the popular choice right now for the Seahawks considering all the injury issues at the position). It's another new name this time - Bryan Bulaga (OT, Iowa). Tomorrow I'll be watching four games one of which is Iowa against Northwestern. It'll be the second time I'll have a chance to watch Bulaga, my initial thoughts were that he's best suited to play right tackle in the NFL. McGuire pins the Seahawks down to take Ryan Mallett (QB, Arkansas) later in round one - a move I simply cannot see happening.
Scott Wright goes in a different direction, giving Seattle C.J. Spiller as early as the 12th overall pick. That's a bit of a reach but if the team did want Spiller badly enough, they might have to take him in that range. I don't think he'll last deep into the 20's like some people are predicting - he's an explosive playmaker in a year that's lacking at the offensive skill positions. The Seahawks select USF safety Nate Allen late in round one - an even bigger reach.
Click here to see my first 2010 mock draft.
Thursday, 5 November 2009
Looking at the RBs: Toby Gerhart
Hello Seahawks Draft Blog-Readers! I've been pretty quiet lately, but I'll be putting up quite a bit this weekend - just the way the schedule looked. I was going to save this for Saturday, but I noticed Rob has stepped out and figured I'd put this up tonight.
Toby Gerhart, a senior from Stanford, starts off the first of about half a dozen running backs I'll be scouting over the next week or two. A true two-sport athlete, Gerhart would easily have a baseball future if he hung up his pads. His NFL future is equally as bright, however, as Gerhart will definitely hear his name called on draft weekend.
Let us start with the positives. At 6'1, 235 Gerhart has excellent size and runs with the mentality of a power back. He's always falling forward, making him an excellent choice for grinding out yards. Gerhart has very good vision (and he's patient), looks to be a great blocker (need to see more), and showed nice hands a couple of times. He also shows the ability to run with good pad level, though it isn't consistent.
The biggest hole in Gerhart's game is his lack of athleticism. He isn't a guy who can consistently hit the corner in the NFL, but he can run off-tackle if the blocking is good. He should be able to run the stretch-runs that are a staple in zone-heavy schemes. His quickness is alright except when he has to change directions, then he slow down dramatically (usually means tight hips and limited athleticism combined). When he is in the open field, he can be caught from behind but he can rip off long runs as well. I'm also concerned with how often Gerhart is taken off the field - I don't know if it is conditioning or just a cautious coaching staff, but it is something Seattle needs to do their homework on.
The zone blocking system seems to do best with either small, quick backs or huge power backs - very little in between. Gerhart is the type of back who could consistently get 4 or 5 yards if Seattle ever straightens out their offensive line. He also brings the production and intangibles that Tim Ruskell loves - IF Gerhart commits to football and leaves his baseball career at Stanford. I wouldn't take Gerhart before the 3rd round because I think he's a situational runner, but that doesn't mean he couldn't be a 15-carry-a-game guy in a committee situation. He'll give you good production inside without entirely giving away the game plan, and you can leave him in on 3rd-and-long.
Of course, I've only combed through two games of Gerhart, so things such as blocking, ball security, and receiving need more time before they an be considered accurately evaluated. As a runner, though, this should give you an idea what to expect from the Stanford back.
Toby Gerhart, a senior from Stanford, starts off the first of about half a dozen running backs I'll be scouting over the next week or two. A true two-sport athlete, Gerhart would easily have a baseball future if he hung up his pads. His NFL future is equally as bright, however, as Gerhart will definitely hear his name called on draft weekend.
Let us start with the positives. At 6'1, 235 Gerhart has excellent size and runs with the mentality of a power back. He's always falling forward, making him an excellent choice for grinding out yards. Gerhart has very good vision (and he's patient), looks to be a great blocker (need to see more), and showed nice hands a couple of times. He also shows the ability to run with good pad level, though it isn't consistent.
The biggest hole in Gerhart's game is his lack of athleticism. He isn't a guy who can consistently hit the corner in the NFL, but he can run off-tackle if the blocking is good. He should be able to run the stretch-runs that are a staple in zone-heavy schemes. His quickness is alright except when he has to change directions, then he slow down dramatically (usually means tight hips and limited athleticism combined). When he is in the open field, he can be caught from behind but he can rip off long runs as well. I'm also concerned with how often Gerhart is taken off the field - I don't know if it is conditioning or just a cautious coaching staff, but it is something Seattle needs to do their homework on.
The zone blocking system seems to do best with either small, quick backs or huge power backs - very little in between. Gerhart is the type of back who could consistently get 4 or 5 yards if Seattle ever straightens out their offensive line. He also brings the production and intangibles that Tim Ruskell loves - IF Gerhart commits to football and leaves his baseball career at Stanford. I wouldn't take Gerhart before the 3rd round because I think he's a situational runner, but that doesn't mean he couldn't be a 15-carry-a-game guy in a committee situation. He'll give you good production inside without entirely giving away the game plan, and you can leave him in on 3rd-and-long.
Of course, I've only combed through two games of Gerhart, so things such as blocking, ball security, and receiving need more time before they an be considered accurately evaluated. As a runner, though, this should give you an idea what to expect from the Stanford back.
Wednesday, 4 November 2009
Wednesday links
Just a word of warning - I'll be on a course in Newcastle over the next couple of days so the blog might not get updated much. I'll try and get something up tomorrow evening and Kyle might put something on, but if not we'll be back to full strength on Friday ahead of another weekend of college/NFL football.
Mel Kiper explains why the 2010 draft offers a deep class on the defensive line: "There is (Julius) Peppers type talent in Carlos Dunlap. He's starting to pick it up. He's the 4th highest rated player on my Big Board. You have an up and comer, former junior college player, Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, USF; Everson Griffen, jr. DE, USC is at 14; Jerry Hughes, TCU, he's like a Terrell Suggs player, an OLB; Brandon Graham, Michigan; Greg Hardy from Miss.; Willie Young from NC State; Derrick Morgan, Georgia Tech; Allen Bailey, DE, Miami, he's had an outstanding year; Greg Romeus, Pitt; Jason Worilds, VT. It's a very deep and talented group of DEs and very talented and deep group at DTs."
Steve Muench compares Jahvid Best and C.J. Spiller and sees similarities between the two: "It's hard not to compare Best to Clemson RB C.J. Spiller because they flash similar explosiveness and versatility. Spiller contributes more as a return man, but Best certainly has the potential to develop that area of his game. Like Spiller, Best will not be an every-down power back, but getting him 20 touches in various ways will present problems for defenses because he is a threat to score every time he gets the ball in his hands. Overall, Best ranks as the No. 2 running back on the board -- just behind Spiller -- and projects to come off the board late in the first round."
Scott Wright talks about Myron Rolle, who's been spending the last few months at Oxford University on the Rhodes Scholarship: "In all honesty Rolle has been a little overrated as a pro prospect over the years and he isn’t going to be a first round pick like many thought. Rolle possesses very good size at 6-2 and 218 pounds but there are serious questions about his speed, to the point where many scouts feel he will have to make the conversion to outside linebacker at the next level. Despite Rolle’s shortcomings in coverage he is tough, physical, hard working and obviously extremely smart so he will score off the charts when it comes to the intangibles."
Matt McGuire updates his 2010 big board but doesn't think much of the quality: "When I put my star grades on my spreadsheet, I began to realize that this could have the potential to be a very weak draft. I hope I am just being negative and not seeing it for what it is, but I just haven't been impressed with the top-40 talent thus far in the season. This could change quickly, but I don't have high hopes."
Rob Rang reports that highly rated Syracuse receiver Mike Williams has surprisingly quit the team: "Williams, who missed the entire 2008 season due to suspicion of academic fraud, had been leading the Big East conference in catches per game (7) and receiving yards per game (106.57) despite having less than ideal talent around him. The 6-2, 212 pound Williams has surprising straight-line speed and lateral agility to elude defenders, making him one of the better after-the-catch receivers in the country."
Chad Reuter lists his risers and fallers and wasn't impressed with USF's George Selvie: "His one tackle was for a loss and it came three minutes into the contest. Selvie still has the good burst off the snap that garnered him All-American honors as a sophomore. But his thin frame and inability to get off blocks will probably cause a position shift to linebacker and keep him from being the first-round pick everyone expected him to be two years ago. Even with junior DE Jason Pierre-Paul getting attention on the other side of the line, Selvie has managed only three sacks this season.
Mel Kiper explains why the 2010 draft offers a deep class on the defensive line: "There is (Julius) Peppers type talent in Carlos Dunlap. He's starting to pick it up. He's the 4th highest rated player on my Big Board. You have an up and comer, former junior college player, Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, USF; Everson Griffen, jr. DE, USC is at 14; Jerry Hughes, TCU, he's like a Terrell Suggs player, an OLB; Brandon Graham, Michigan; Greg Hardy from Miss.; Willie Young from NC State; Derrick Morgan, Georgia Tech; Allen Bailey, DE, Miami, he's had an outstanding year; Greg Romeus, Pitt; Jason Worilds, VT. It's a very deep and talented group of DEs and very talented and deep group at DTs."
Steve Muench compares Jahvid Best and C.J. Spiller and sees similarities between the two: "It's hard not to compare Best to Clemson RB C.J. Spiller because they flash similar explosiveness and versatility. Spiller contributes more as a return man, but Best certainly has the potential to develop that area of his game. Like Spiller, Best will not be an every-down power back, but getting him 20 touches in various ways will present problems for defenses because he is a threat to score every time he gets the ball in his hands. Overall, Best ranks as the No. 2 running back on the board -- just behind Spiller -- and projects to come off the board late in the first round."
Scott Wright talks about Myron Rolle, who's been spending the last few months at Oxford University on the Rhodes Scholarship: "In all honesty Rolle has been a little overrated as a pro prospect over the years and he isn’t going to be a first round pick like many thought. Rolle possesses very good size at 6-2 and 218 pounds but there are serious questions about his speed, to the point where many scouts feel he will have to make the conversion to outside linebacker at the next level. Despite Rolle’s shortcomings in coverage he is tough, physical, hard working and obviously extremely smart so he will score off the charts when it comes to the intangibles."
Matt McGuire updates his 2010 big board but doesn't think much of the quality: "When I put my star grades on my spreadsheet, I began to realize that this could have the potential to be a very weak draft. I hope I am just being negative and not seeing it for what it is, but I just haven't been impressed with the top-40 talent thus far in the season. This could change quickly, but I don't have high hopes."
Rob Rang reports that highly rated Syracuse receiver Mike Williams has surprisingly quit the team: "Williams, who missed the entire 2008 season due to suspicion of academic fraud, had been leading the Big East conference in catches per game (7) and receiving yards per game (106.57) despite having less than ideal talent around him. The 6-2, 212 pound Williams has surprising straight-line speed and lateral agility to elude defenders, making him one of the better after-the-catch receivers in the country."
Chad Reuter lists his risers and fallers and wasn't impressed with USF's George Selvie: "His one tackle was for a loss and it came three minutes into the contest. Selvie still has the good burst off the snap that garnered him All-American honors as a sophomore. But his thin frame and inability to get off blocks will probably cause a position shift to linebacker and keep him from being the first-round pick everyone expected him to be two years ago. Even with junior DE Jason Pierre-Paul getting attention on the other side of the line, Selvie has managed only three sacks this season.
Tuesday, 3 November 2009
Developing the mock - further thoughts
I published my first 2010 mock draft yesterday and it sparked some debate in the comments section. The blog was alive yesterday so thanks to all for taking part and please always feel free to contribute on anything to do with the Seahawks and the draft. Today I want to look a little bit further into the two first round picks I gave Seattle - Charles Brown (OT, USC) and Rodney Hudson (OG, Florida State).
For starters I want to point out that I'm not the kind of person to preach about heavy investment in the offensive line. I don't share the belief that first round picks are tantamount towards a successful line and that any long term recovery will always depend on top picks being spent at tackle or guard. I also don't agree with those who think lineman are less likely to bust - I think you have to take each prospect on his own merits and not look at how people in the past have fared.
To read the rest of the article, select 'read more' or click here.
Even so, I gave the Seahawks two lineman in the mock. The first pick (Charles Brown) is someone who could fly up the draft boards over the next few months, similar to what happened to Jason Smith last year. If you recall, most were touting Smith as a raw, mid-first round pick during most of the college football season. He was considered a little light, playing at around the 290lbs mark and he featured in a spread offense.
However, he turned up at the combine a picture perfect 307lbs and the extra weight gained didn't have an adverse affect on his athleticism in work outs. That is the same challenge that faces Charles Brown. He's listed at 285lbs right now which is clearly just not enough. As a converted tight end (like Smith) he needs to add a few pounds whilst maintain that sharp agility. If he manages that, it's not a stretch to believe Brown could go even higher than the #11 overall pick I currently have him at. Remember - this is a weak draft for lineman. It's crying out for a top O-liner to make a move up the boards considering the premium value on the left tackle position these days and this Trojan could be the man.
Let me explain why I think that could be the case. I broke down the tape of Oregon vs USC from the weekend. There were two plays that really struck me that I wanted to mention. The first - Brown gets his hands on one of the Ducks defensive lineman and with little effort, brandishes a forceful punch to the chest visibly knocking the guy backwards to the extent his head jolts around. This was the first real evidence I've seen that Brown possesses that kind of strength in the upper body and it's something we rarely see from young offensive tackles. It also shows that despite his low weight, he's still very powerful.
The second play flashed his intelligence and ability to diagnose - crucial when working in a zone blocking scheme. Matt Barkley takes the snap behind center and is looking for his tight end on a crossing route. Brown initially combats the right defensive end, but instantly recognises the threat of an outside linebacker. He jolts the DE backwards before blocking off - doing enough to allow the guard to come across and cover. He then quickly repositions himself using superb footwork to take on the linebacker face on and it's lights out. Barkley completes the pass thanks to some beautiful pass protection.
As a prospect he fits the Tim Ruskell mantra. He's from USC - a school Ruskell has drafted from previously (Lawrence Jackson, Lofa Tatupu). There's no character red flags and he's a senior prospect - something that seems to count in the first round with Seattle's GM. Sean Locklear is signed to what could be described as a 'left tackles' contract and certainly was touted by the team to fill that role with Walter Jones absent. The injuries to Locklear may have forced them to consider other options - they simply cannot afford to have a revolving door at left tackle for much longer.
If I was a betting man I'd suggest Tim Ruskell would like to tap into what constitutes an amazingly talented defensive line class this year. At #11, Seattle has just missed out on the top prospects. They also miss out on the top four quarterbacks. We've seen this team trade up or down when needs be in the past, so I wouldn't rule it out on the day if that's how the board actually fell. However, in this very premature suggestion - if they stayed put the Seahawks would surely have to consider the talented Brown.
The second pick however, has caused much debate. Would Ruskell draft two lineman in round one, let alone an interior lineman? Will Rodney Hudson even declare as a junior prospect? Is he good enough to justify the first round grade?
I have to admit, I've not seen a single mock draft out there that has Hudson in round one. Compare this to last year when nearly every mock had Duke Robinson going in the first - a prospect who to me at least always looked like the late 5th rounder he actually became. Part of the justification for putting the Seminoles lineman in there is to try and see if his stock will ever get that high. I think it could do and I want to see if I'm right later in the year.
Admittedly, some will be put off Hudson's lack of size - he's 295lbs and 6'2". Some won't be put off - like Seattle - who favor smaller, agile lineman and that's why I paired him with the Seahawks in the mock. He's a perfect scheme fit, just like Charles Brown. The thing about Hudson is, sure he's a bit small and he's more athletic than powerful. However - he's surprisingly strong. Watch some Florida State tape, particularly run plays, and watch Hudson drive his man back 5-6 yards to create a hole... it's a thing of beauty.
The situation at left guard has been a cause célèbre ever since Steve Hutchinson left for Minnesota. Rob Sims has suffered injuries and inconsistency, whilst the Mike Wahle project didn't last very long before his retirement. That for me, is a critical area of the team that needs tying up. Now, like most people I'd express some surprise at any guard going in round one who is essentially flying under the radar. But I truly believe Hudson is good enough to justify the praise and isn't the first round all about getting guys who can be cornerstones of your team? I genuinely believe Hudson could be plugged in from day one and left there for 10 years, barring any poison pills of course.
When I next compile a mock draft, things could change. Undoubtedly some prospects are going to move up the board as we close out the college season and some more will appear after the senior bowl and combine. The mock yesterday was more to get a feel for things and the kind of situation the Seahawks could be faced with. Yes - two lineman is perhaps unlikely. But in the right circumstances, if the board falls a certain way, it isn't impossible.
For starters I want to point out that I'm not the kind of person to preach about heavy investment in the offensive line. I don't share the belief that first round picks are tantamount towards a successful line and that any long term recovery will always depend on top picks being spent at tackle or guard. I also don't agree with those who think lineman are less likely to bust - I think you have to take each prospect on his own merits and not look at how people in the past have fared.
To read the rest of the article, select 'read more' or click here.
Even so, I gave the Seahawks two lineman in the mock. The first pick (Charles Brown) is someone who could fly up the draft boards over the next few months, similar to what happened to Jason Smith last year. If you recall, most were touting Smith as a raw, mid-first round pick during most of the college football season. He was considered a little light, playing at around the 290lbs mark and he featured in a spread offense.
However, he turned up at the combine a picture perfect 307lbs and the extra weight gained didn't have an adverse affect on his athleticism in work outs. That is the same challenge that faces Charles Brown. He's listed at 285lbs right now which is clearly just not enough. As a converted tight end (like Smith) he needs to add a few pounds whilst maintain that sharp agility. If he manages that, it's not a stretch to believe Brown could go even higher than the #11 overall pick I currently have him at. Remember - this is a weak draft for lineman. It's crying out for a top O-liner to make a move up the boards considering the premium value on the left tackle position these days and this Trojan could be the man.
Let me explain why I think that could be the case. I broke down the tape of Oregon vs USC from the weekend. There were two plays that really struck me that I wanted to mention. The first - Brown gets his hands on one of the Ducks defensive lineman and with little effort, brandishes a forceful punch to the chest visibly knocking the guy backwards to the extent his head jolts around. This was the first real evidence I've seen that Brown possesses that kind of strength in the upper body and it's something we rarely see from young offensive tackles. It also shows that despite his low weight, he's still very powerful.
The second play flashed his intelligence and ability to diagnose - crucial when working in a zone blocking scheme. Matt Barkley takes the snap behind center and is looking for his tight end on a crossing route. Brown initially combats the right defensive end, but instantly recognises the threat of an outside linebacker. He jolts the DE backwards before blocking off - doing enough to allow the guard to come across and cover. He then quickly repositions himself using superb footwork to take on the linebacker face on and it's lights out. Barkley completes the pass thanks to some beautiful pass protection.
As a prospect he fits the Tim Ruskell mantra. He's from USC - a school Ruskell has drafted from previously (Lawrence Jackson, Lofa Tatupu). There's no character red flags and he's a senior prospect - something that seems to count in the first round with Seattle's GM. Sean Locklear is signed to what could be described as a 'left tackles' contract and certainly was touted by the team to fill that role with Walter Jones absent. The injuries to Locklear may have forced them to consider other options - they simply cannot afford to have a revolving door at left tackle for much longer.
If I was a betting man I'd suggest Tim Ruskell would like to tap into what constitutes an amazingly talented defensive line class this year. At #11, Seattle has just missed out on the top prospects. They also miss out on the top four quarterbacks. We've seen this team trade up or down when needs be in the past, so I wouldn't rule it out on the day if that's how the board actually fell. However, in this very premature suggestion - if they stayed put the Seahawks would surely have to consider the talented Brown.
The second pick however, has caused much debate. Would Ruskell draft two lineman in round one, let alone an interior lineman? Will Rodney Hudson even declare as a junior prospect? Is he good enough to justify the first round grade?
I have to admit, I've not seen a single mock draft out there that has Hudson in round one. Compare this to last year when nearly every mock had Duke Robinson going in the first - a prospect who to me at least always looked like the late 5th rounder he actually became. Part of the justification for putting the Seminoles lineman in there is to try and see if his stock will ever get that high. I think it could do and I want to see if I'm right later in the year.
Admittedly, some will be put off Hudson's lack of size - he's 295lbs and 6'2". Some won't be put off - like Seattle - who favor smaller, agile lineman and that's why I paired him with the Seahawks in the mock. He's a perfect scheme fit, just like Charles Brown. The thing about Hudson is, sure he's a bit small and he's more athletic than powerful. However - he's surprisingly strong. Watch some Florida State tape, particularly run plays, and watch Hudson drive his man back 5-6 yards to create a hole... it's a thing of beauty.
The situation at left guard has been a cause célèbre ever since Steve Hutchinson left for Minnesota. Rob Sims has suffered injuries and inconsistency, whilst the Mike Wahle project didn't last very long before his retirement. That for me, is a critical area of the team that needs tying up. Now, like most people I'd express some surprise at any guard going in round one who is essentially flying under the radar. But I truly believe Hudson is good enough to justify the praise and isn't the first round all about getting guys who can be cornerstones of your team? I genuinely believe Hudson could be plugged in from day one and left there for 10 years, barring any poison pills of course.
When I next compile a mock draft, things could change. Undoubtedly some prospects are going to move up the board as we close out the college season and some more will appear after the senior bowl and combine. The mock yesterday was more to get a feel for things and the kind of situation the Seahawks could be faced with. Yes - two lineman is perhaps unlikely. But in the right circumstances, if the board falls a certain way, it isn't impossible.
Monday, 2 November 2009
Seattle, the draft and my first 2010 mock
The Seahawks fell to 2-5 with defeat in Dallas yesterday and only the NFC West's inability to pull away is keeping the premature draft talk going into over-drive. For starters, here's my thoughts on the team right now (and I'm sure many will disagree). Call me crazy, but I think we're one 'statement' game from turning it around. We have to go on the road and beat a good team. If or when that happens, there will be something to build on going forward. Until it does, we'll continue to lack any kind of momentum or identity. As strange as it seems after yet another loss, if we can match the Cardinals until our trip to Arizona we could be competing to get within one game of the NFC West lead. Sure it's optimistic, but that's what the team have to be saying - there's no point throwing in the towel. An 8-8 record can win the west, but you have to win at least a couple of those road games.
Having said that, I've decided to publish a mock draft today and it will be processed under the assumption Seattle are going to finish with only 5-7 wins. Officially it's my first mock of the year and next April I'll revisit it with interest to see how things have changed after the completion of the college season, the combine and pro-days etc. The idea of this mock isn't to truly guess what will happen in the 2010 draft - that's impossible at this stage. Rather, this is an opportunity to see what could happen and how the Seahawks (if they do finish with just 5-7 wins) can plan for the future.
I've compiled the draft order using current records and my own personal feelings on how I think they'll work out by the end of the year.
The top five
#1 Tampa Bay - Ndamukong Suh (DT, Nebraska)
#2 St Louis - Sam Bradford (QB, Oklahoma)
#3 Cleveland - Jimmy Clausen (QB, Notre Dame)
#4 Tennessee - Gerald McCoy (DT, Oklahoma)
#5 Oakland - Carlos Dunlap (DE, Florida)
This is how I think the top five could work out. The only one I'm not totally sold on is Tennessee - they're not as bad as they have been this year (sounds familiar) and I think they could win enough games to be picking a bit higher up, if not that much higher. If they do pick at #4 - and with the top two QB's off the board - they could look for a stud replacement for Albert Haynesworth.
Tampa Bay on the other hand, were awful when I watched them at Wembley. That franchise is a complete mess, although I suspect even they won't botch the chance to draft Ndamukong Suh. St Louis could look for a new start at QB and I still believe Sam Bradford is BPA at that position. Carlos Dunlap has Al Davies written all over him, whilst I expect Jimmy Clausen to declare and become the next sitting duck in Cleveland.
The rest of the top ten
#6 Kansas City - Dez Bryant (WR, Oklahoma State)
#7 Detroit - Derrick Morgan (DE, Georgia Tech)
#8 Washington - Jake Locker (QB, Washington)
#9 Buffalo - Russell Okung (OT, Oklahoma State)
#10 Jacksonville - Tim Tebow (QB, Florida)
Kansas City are a tough one to predict. They pulled one out of left field when they took Tyson Jackson last year, nobody had him pinned as a top three pick until a couple of weeks before the draft. They have so many holes, they could do a ton of things here. However, call this one an early hunch - but maybe they look at adding a playmaker. I'm not that big a fan of Bryant - he has great size, long arms and passable speed - but he makes too many basic errors for me. He's productive for sure, but I think he's a class below Michael Crabtree last year.
Derrick Morgan is one of my favorite prospects, love the guy. Top ten pick for sure if I'm a GM in the NFL. I don't think Jake Locker will declare but until we hear either way, I'll include him here. I don't expect the Redskins to keep Jim Zorn or Jason Campbell, meaning a new start at HC and QB. I expect to see both Russell Okung and Tim Tebow drafted about 20-30 picks higher than they should be based on need and hype respectively.
Picks 11-15
#11 Seattle - Charles Brown (OT, USC)
#12 San Francisco - Joe Haden (CB, Florida)
#13 New York Jets - Damian Williams (WR, USC)
#14 San Francisco - Eric Berry (S, Tennessee)
#15 Miami - Rolando McClain (LB, Alabama)
If this is the position from which Seattle drafts, what are the options? Four quarterbacks are off the board, virtually eliminating the chance they draft at the position in round one. The four best defensive lineman are gone - another position Seattle will seriously consider. The two highly (over) rated safety's (Eric Berry and Taylor Mays) are still on the board. I can see an argument that suggests both are very realistic targets here. The Seahawks have a need at safety and Mays (four year starter, USC prospect, Seattle born) and Berry (productive, played in a system similar to Seattle, Monte Kiffin as tutor) both appear to be good fits from a Ruskell-methodology stand point.
Make no mistake, in this situation - Seattle could easily take either of the two safety's. I've gone with Charles Brown though, because I also think eventually Tim Ruskell will feel he has to invest a high pick on the offense at a core position. He's spoken in the past about being able to find lineman later on, but this year's struggles on the offensive line should be an eye opener. Like Mays, Brown is from USC and a senior prospect. He's a perfect scheme fit for the ZBS and could be used as a right or left tackle as a rookie. Sad as it is, it does seem unlikely Walter Jones will ever return and although Sean Locklear is tied to an expensive long term contract the Seahawks could use a talented, long-term addition to their offensive line.
Briefly looking at the other picks, both Joe Haden and Eric Berry seem like Mike Singletary picks to me and that'd be a cracking double whammy for the 49ers defense. Mark Sanchez will no doubt rally for the brilliant Damian Williams to be drafted regardless of the potential re-signing of Braylon Edwards and Miami could go linebacker - although I'm unsure at this stage whether Rolando McClain isn't a bit over rated.
Picks 16-20
#16 San Diego - C.J. Spiller (RB, Clemson)
#17 Green Bay - Anthony Davis (OT, Rutgers)
#18 Denver - Jerry Hughes (DE/OLB, TCU)
#19 Baltimore - Jermaine Gresham (TE, Oklahoma)
#20 Arizona - Trent Williams (OT, Oklahoma)
I'm a huge fan of C.J. Spiller, he's a playmaker every time he has the ball and I expect he'll go right in the middle of the first round. Denver could be looking for a replacement for star pass rusher Elvis Dummervil who hits free agency at the perfect time in 2010. Baltimore always seem to get great value and Jermaine Gresham would be a steal there. Arizona and Green Bay could be looking at offensive lineman or new components as they adjust to 3-4 defensive schemes this year.
Picks 21-32
#21 Atlanta - Travis Lewis (OLB, Oklahoma)
#22 Houston - Taylor Mays (S, USC)
#23 Cincinnati - Jason Pierre-Paul (DE, USF)
#24 Dallas - Brandon Spikes (LB, Florida)
#25 New York Giants - Everson Griffen (DE, USC)
#26 Pittsburgh - Brandon Graham (DE/OLB, Michigan)
#27 New England - Arthur Jones (DE, Syracuse)
#28 Seattle - Rodney Hudson (OG, Florida State)
#29 Philadelphia - Sean Wetherspoon (LB, Missouri)
#30 New Orleans - Sergio Kindle (LB, Texas)
#31 Minnesota - Greg Hardy (DE, Ole Miss)
#32 Indianapolis - Earl Thomas (S, Texas)
A word on Seattle's second pick. Hudson is a junior left guard who might stay with the Seminoles for his senior year. In this situation, Seattle will have missed most of the top defensive lineman that fit their scheme. I have to think there's a slight chance the Seahawks won't let that happen. I also don't want to beat the drum too much for the offensive line - yes - it's been a problematic area for Seattle. Some will say this is overkill and too high for an interior lineman. Not for me, because Hudson is that good. He fits Seattle's scheme perfectly considering his size and agility, but he's still as strong as an ox. With Brown and Hudson, they'd solve two huge holes on the offensive line for 10 years.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments section or email rob@seahawksdraftblog.com
Having said that, I've decided to publish a mock draft today and it will be processed under the assumption Seattle are going to finish with only 5-7 wins. Officially it's my first mock of the year and next April I'll revisit it with interest to see how things have changed after the completion of the college season, the combine and pro-days etc. The idea of this mock isn't to truly guess what will happen in the 2010 draft - that's impossible at this stage. Rather, this is an opportunity to see what could happen and how the Seahawks (if they do finish with just 5-7 wins) can plan for the future.
I've compiled the draft order using current records and my own personal feelings on how I think they'll work out by the end of the year.
The top five
#1 Tampa Bay - Ndamukong Suh (DT, Nebraska)
#2 St Louis - Sam Bradford (QB, Oklahoma)
#3 Cleveland - Jimmy Clausen (QB, Notre Dame)
#4 Tennessee - Gerald McCoy (DT, Oklahoma)
#5 Oakland - Carlos Dunlap (DE, Florida)
This is how I think the top five could work out. The only one I'm not totally sold on is Tennessee - they're not as bad as they have been this year (sounds familiar) and I think they could win enough games to be picking a bit higher up, if not that much higher. If they do pick at #4 - and with the top two QB's off the board - they could look for a stud replacement for Albert Haynesworth.
Tampa Bay on the other hand, were awful when I watched them at Wembley. That franchise is a complete mess, although I suspect even they won't botch the chance to draft Ndamukong Suh. St Louis could look for a new start at QB and I still believe Sam Bradford is BPA at that position. Carlos Dunlap has Al Davies written all over him, whilst I expect Jimmy Clausen to declare and become the next sitting duck in Cleveland.
The rest of the top ten
#6 Kansas City - Dez Bryant (WR, Oklahoma State)
#7 Detroit - Derrick Morgan (DE, Georgia Tech)
#8 Washington - Jake Locker (QB, Washington)
#9 Buffalo - Russell Okung (OT, Oklahoma State)
#10 Jacksonville - Tim Tebow (QB, Florida)
Kansas City are a tough one to predict. They pulled one out of left field when they took Tyson Jackson last year, nobody had him pinned as a top three pick until a couple of weeks before the draft. They have so many holes, they could do a ton of things here. However, call this one an early hunch - but maybe they look at adding a playmaker. I'm not that big a fan of Bryant - he has great size, long arms and passable speed - but he makes too many basic errors for me. He's productive for sure, but I think he's a class below Michael Crabtree last year.
Derrick Morgan is one of my favorite prospects, love the guy. Top ten pick for sure if I'm a GM in the NFL. I don't think Jake Locker will declare but until we hear either way, I'll include him here. I don't expect the Redskins to keep Jim Zorn or Jason Campbell, meaning a new start at HC and QB. I expect to see both Russell Okung and Tim Tebow drafted about 20-30 picks higher than they should be based on need and hype respectively.
Picks 11-15
#11 Seattle - Charles Brown (OT, USC)
#12 San Francisco - Joe Haden (CB, Florida)
#13 New York Jets - Damian Williams (WR, USC)
#14 San Francisco - Eric Berry (S, Tennessee)
#15 Miami - Rolando McClain (LB, Alabama)
If this is the position from which Seattle drafts, what are the options? Four quarterbacks are off the board, virtually eliminating the chance they draft at the position in round one. The four best defensive lineman are gone - another position Seattle will seriously consider. The two highly (over) rated safety's (Eric Berry and Taylor Mays) are still on the board. I can see an argument that suggests both are very realistic targets here. The Seahawks have a need at safety and Mays (four year starter, USC prospect, Seattle born) and Berry (productive, played in a system similar to Seattle, Monte Kiffin as tutor) both appear to be good fits from a Ruskell-methodology stand point.
Make no mistake, in this situation - Seattle could easily take either of the two safety's. I've gone with Charles Brown though, because I also think eventually Tim Ruskell will feel he has to invest a high pick on the offense at a core position. He's spoken in the past about being able to find lineman later on, but this year's struggles on the offensive line should be an eye opener. Like Mays, Brown is from USC and a senior prospect. He's a perfect scheme fit for the ZBS and could be used as a right or left tackle as a rookie. Sad as it is, it does seem unlikely Walter Jones will ever return and although Sean Locklear is tied to an expensive long term contract the Seahawks could use a talented, long-term addition to their offensive line.
Briefly looking at the other picks, both Joe Haden and Eric Berry seem like Mike Singletary picks to me and that'd be a cracking double whammy for the 49ers defense. Mark Sanchez will no doubt rally for the brilliant Damian Williams to be drafted regardless of the potential re-signing of Braylon Edwards and Miami could go linebacker - although I'm unsure at this stage whether Rolando McClain isn't a bit over rated.
Picks 16-20
#16 San Diego - C.J. Spiller (RB, Clemson)
#17 Green Bay - Anthony Davis (OT, Rutgers)
#18 Denver - Jerry Hughes (DE/OLB, TCU)
#19 Baltimore - Jermaine Gresham (TE, Oklahoma)
#20 Arizona - Trent Williams (OT, Oklahoma)
I'm a huge fan of C.J. Spiller, he's a playmaker every time he has the ball and I expect he'll go right in the middle of the first round. Denver could be looking for a replacement for star pass rusher Elvis Dummervil who hits free agency at the perfect time in 2010. Baltimore always seem to get great value and Jermaine Gresham would be a steal there. Arizona and Green Bay could be looking at offensive lineman or new components as they adjust to 3-4 defensive schemes this year.
Picks 21-32
#21 Atlanta - Travis Lewis (OLB, Oklahoma)
#22 Houston - Taylor Mays (S, USC)
#23 Cincinnati - Jason Pierre-Paul (DE, USF)
#24 Dallas - Brandon Spikes (LB, Florida)
#25 New York Giants - Everson Griffen (DE, USC)
#26 Pittsburgh - Brandon Graham (DE/OLB, Michigan)
#27 New England - Arthur Jones (DE, Syracuse)
#28 Seattle - Rodney Hudson (OG, Florida State)
#29 Philadelphia - Sean Wetherspoon (LB, Missouri)
#30 New Orleans - Sergio Kindle (LB, Texas)
#31 Minnesota - Greg Hardy (DE, Ole Miss)
#32 Indianapolis - Earl Thomas (S, Texas)
A word on Seattle's second pick. Hudson is a junior left guard who might stay with the Seminoles for his senior year. In this situation, Seattle will have missed most of the top defensive lineman that fit their scheme. I have to think there's a slight chance the Seahawks won't let that happen. I also don't want to beat the drum too much for the offensive line - yes - it's been a problematic area for Seattle. Some will say this is overkill and too high for an interior lineman. Not for me, because Hudson is that good. He fits Seattle's scheme perfectly considering his size and agility, but he's still as strong as an ox. With Brown and Hudson, they'd solve two huge holes on the offensive line for 10 years.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments section or email rob@seahawksdraftblog.com
Sunday, 1 November 2009
Ndamukong Suh ticketed for negligent driving
It's being reported by ESPN that Nebraska's top defensive lineman Ndamukong Suh has been 'ticketed for negligent driving' after hitting three parked cars in his Land Rover Sport. It's also being claimed that Suh had been drinking before the incident - although he was well below the legal limit. Nobody was injured in the three-car smash and Suh has said the accident happened after he swerved to avoid hitting an animal that had crosses onto the road. It remains to be seen whether this will have any impact on his long term draft stock.
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